Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
143 UC Irvine 0.0%   19 - 14 12 - 4 19 - 14 12 - 4 +1.2      -2.7 239 +3.9 71 64.9 249 -0.3 168 -0.7 1
213 UC Davis 100.0%   16   20 - 12 11 - 5 20 - 12 11 - 5 -3.3      -5.0 292 +1.7 117 68.9 142 -0.9 178 -1.8 2
226 Long Beach St. 0.0%   13 - 19 9 - 7 13 - 19 9 - 7 -4.1      -0.4 176 -3.7 275 72.3 71 -4.5 237 -5.0 4
256 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 6 15 - 14 10 - 6 -5.5      -6.0 314 +0.5 162 69.8 117 -5.3 244 -3.2 3
264 Hawaii 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 8 13 - 16 8 - 8 -6.0      -4.8 289 -1.2 204 65.4 238 -6.7 265 -6.3 5
280 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   10 - 18 7 - 9 10 - 18 7 - 9 -7.5      -0.4 180 -7.1 330 77.6 17 -8.1 288 -7.6 6
301 Cal Poly 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 10 9 - 20 6 - 10 -9.0      -3.2 250 -5.8 314 62.5 302 -8.3 291 -9.0 7
307 UC Riverside 0.0%   6 - 21 5 - 11 6 - 21 5 - 11 -9.6      -8.8 337 -0.8 195 67.5 192 -11.2 322 -10.6 8
328 UC Santa Barbara 0.0%   5 - 22 4 - 12 5 - 22 4 - 12 -12.1      -9.2 341 -2.9 253 61.7 310 -12.0 327 -12.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
UC Davis 2.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 4.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 3.0 100.0
Hawaii 5.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 6.0 100.0
Cal Poly 7.0 100.0
UC Riverside 8.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Irvine 12 - 4 100.0
UC Davis 11 - 5 100.0
Long Beach St. 9 - 7 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 10 - 6 100.0
Hawaii 8 - 8 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 7 - 9 100.0
Cal Poly 6 - 10 100.0
UC Riverside 5 - 11 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
UC Davis
Long Beach St.
Cal St. Fullerton
Hawaii
Cal St. Northridge
Cal Poly
UC Riverside
UC Santa Barbara


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   1.7 98.3
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 100.0% 91.1% 47.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 47.3% 0.5 52.7 47.3
2nd Round 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0